2022 FINAL Oscar Nomination Predictions: Animated Feature, Documentary Feature, International Feature

The big story with these three categories is the chance for Jonas Poher Rasmussen’s Flee to make Oscar history and be nominated in all three. 2019’s Honeyland made history by making it a documentary feature and an international feature film. 2008’s Waltz with Bashir made the (then called) Foreign Language Film category, but after snagging BAFTA nods for Animation and Non-English Film, it missed out on both Animation and Film. Oscar documentary.

The animated feature looks pretty cut and dry with Encanto and Luca the only films to hit all the precursors, as well as Flee and The Mitchells vs the Machines all in good shape. Raya and the Last Dragon only missed the BAFTAs (they only had four nominees this year) but still feel safe. But you know what is hiding? Sing 2 prevented Flee from making a precursor sweep to the PGA, but the latter competed as a documentary and was nominated there. While Sing 2 has missed out on the Golden Globe, Critics Choice and BAFTA, it has slowly racked up several guild nods across multiple categories and that could be Flee’s undoing as that may be where he is most. vulnerable.

Documentary Feature probably has two true locks then a wide, wide stroke. As I mentioned in my movie editing predictions, I stand by my belief that Summer of Soul, the most award-winning documentary of the year, will be snubbed due to the doc branch’s demonstrable aversion to movies from ‘archives or whatever is the most overwhelming favorite. That’s two knocks on the film, which won the Critics Choice for Best Documentary Feature, a curse if there ever was one, but one that doesn’t deserve to be overlooked. It could absolutely still happen and turn the tide and if it does, it will be one of the easiest winning predictions of the night.

The international feature may be the richest in years, but that also makes it one of the toughest. While some movies seem safe: Drive My Car, Flee, The Hand of God, A Hero… you can never be too comfortable here. The ever-changing rules of this category, which currently has one group that reviews submissions and decides the shortlist and another that reviews the finalists who give us our five nominees. But, these preliminary groups could come from anywhere in the Academy, from any branch. This sometimes gives us more surprising inclusions like Better Days from Hong Kong or The Man Who Sold His Skin from Tunisia last year on higher profile films from France, Mexico and the Czech Republic. I know I have to play it a little safe here, but watch out for Belgium’s Playground and/or Bhutan’s Lunana: A Yak in the Classroom to cause shocking upheaval on Oscar nomination morning.

ANIMATED MOVIE

26 animated films were eligible in this category. Academy members who are part of the Animated Shorts and Features branch were eligible to vote in the category.

1. Encanto (Walt Disney) – GGCAC, Annie, BAFTA, PGA
2. Lucas (Walt Disney/Pixar) – GG, CCA, Annie, BAFTA, PGA
3. The Mitchells vs. the Machines (Netflix) – CCA, Annie, BAFTA, PGA
4. To flee (NEON) – GG, CCA, Annie (Indie), ALE, BAFTA
5. Raya and the last dragon (Walt Disney) – GG, CCA, Annie, PGA

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6. Sing 2 (Universal Pictures) –Annie, PGA
seven. Beautiful (GKIDS) – Annie (Indie)
8. The summit of the gods (Netflix) – Annie (Indie)
9. Ron gone wrong (20and Century Studios)
ten. Long live (Netflix)


FULL DOCUMENTARY

15 films advanced in the Documentary Feature category for the 94th Academy Awards.
138 films were eligible in the category. Members of the Documentary Branch voted to determine the shortlist and nominees.

1. To flee (NEON) – CEH, CCA, DOC NYC, GothamIDA, ALEPGA, BAFTA
2. The rescue (NatGeo) – CEH, CCA, DOC NYC, PGA, BAFTA
3. Ascent (MTV Documentary Films) – CEH, CCA, DOC NYC, Gotham, IDA, PGA
4. Faya Dayi (Janus Films) – CEH, CCA, DOC NYC, Gotham, IDA
5. Procession (Netflix) – CCA, DOC NYC

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6. soul summer (Projector Images/Hulu) – CEH, ACCIDA, PGA, BAFTA
seven. The first wave (NEON) – PGA
8. In the same breath (HBO Documentary Films) – IDA, PGA
9. Penthouse (Showtime) – CCA
ten. The Velvet Underground (Apple Original Movies) – CEH


INTERNATIONAL FEATURE FILM

15 films will advance to the next round of voting in the International Feature Film category
for the 94th Academy Awards. Films from 92 countries were eligible in the category.
Academy members from all branches were invited to participate in the preliminary round of
vote and must have met a minimum viewing requirement to be eligible to vote in the category.
During the nominations round, Academy members from all branches are invited to register for
participate and must see the 15 pre-selected films to vote.

1. drive my car (Japan) – GGCCA, BAFTA
2. God’s hand (Italy) – EFA, GG, CCA, BAFTA
3. A hero (Iran) – GG, CCA
4. To flee (Denmark) – CCA
5. Playground (Belgium)

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6. Compartment no. 6 (Finland)
seven. The worst person in the world (Norway) – BAFTA
8. Lunana: a yak in the classroom (Bhutan)
9. Prayers for the Stolen (Mexico)
ten. i am your man (Germany)

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